US Data Center Projects
Market Report BR05312

US Data Center Market

Size, share, outlook and growth forecast to 2031. Market leadership driven by cloud adoption, AI infrastructure buildout and IoT expansion.

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Report Snapshot

Pages
109
Format
PDF + Excel
Base Year
2025
Forecast
2026–2031
Published
Q1 2026
Updated
Aug 2026

About This Report

The United States holds 40.8 GW of installed data center capacity, roughly 28% of the global total, making it the largest and most liquid data center market in the world. Capacity expansion is being pulled forward by generative AI training and inference workloads, continued enterprise migration to public cloud, and the steady growth of connected devices and edge workloads.

This report sizes the market, forecasts demand through 2031, and analyses the structural constraints, power availability above all, that now decide where and how quickly new capacity can be delivered.

40.8 GW

Installed Capacity

28 %

Of Global Capacity

1.1 %

N. Virginia Vacancy

100 kW

Peak Rack Density

Market Data

Organizations that Use Gen AI % of organizations

Adoption more than doubled in two years. Each point of adoption converts into compute demand, which is what pulls data center capacity forward.

View data
Item% of organizations
202333
202465
202579

Source: Blackridge Research and Consulting

Hyperscale Owner-Occupied Capacity GW

Hyperscale operators are on track to more than double owner-occupied capacity over five years, adding roughly 39 GW of self-built infrastructure.

View data
ItemGW
202531 Installed
203070 Forecast

Source: Blackridge Research, US Data Center Market

US Imports of Major Electrical Equipment USD billion

Transformers, switchgear, generators and cooling systems now carry procurement lead times beyond a year, so developers lean on imports, and the bill rises every year.

View data
ItemUSD billion
2021291
2022355
2023363
2024390
2025411

Source: Blackridge Research and Consulting

Grid Interconnection Delay by Market Years

Time from interconnection request to energisation. Power availability, not land or fibre, now sets the delivery schedule in every primary market.

View data
ItemYears
Virginia10
Chicago5
Atlanta5
Phoenix3
Dallas3

Source: Blackridge Research, US Data Center Market

Drivers

Expanding AI Infrastructure

Model training and inference are being deployed at a scale the sector has not previously planned for. Rack densities exceed 100 kW in the most advanced facilities, against a 5 to 10 kW legacy norm, which multiplies electricity draw per square foot and forces liquid cooling, new substation capacity, and site selection built around firm power rather than fibre or real estate cost.

Restraints

Power Scarcity and Equipment Shortages

Grid interconnection has replaced land and construction cost as the binding constraint. Queue times now run to roughly ten years in Northern Virginia, five years in Chicago and Atlanta, and three years in Phoenix and Dallas. Lead times on transformers, switchgear and generator sets extend beyond twelve months, and community opposition is increasingly decisive at the zoning stage.

~10yr

N. Virginia

~5yr

Chicago

~5yr

Atlanta

~3yr

Phoenix / Dallas

Indicative grid interconnection queue times

Segmentation

By Region

Northern Virginia

Data Center Alley

4.5 GW built capacity against a pipeline near 15 GW, with colocation vacancy at 1.1% in late 2025. The deepest market in the country and the most power constrained.

Texas

Fastest Growing

Lowest construction cost per MW of any major US market, a permissive permitting regime and ERCOT interconnection speed. Projected to overtake Virginia on built capacity by 2030.

California

Silicon Valley

More than 1 GW operational with 4.9% vacancy. Elevated development cost and regulatory friction cap new supply despite persistent latency-driven demand.

By Type

01

Hyperscale

AWS, Microsoft, Google, Meta. Self-build and long-lease campuses at gigawatt scale.

02

Colocation

Third-party wholesale and retail providers. Equinix, Digital Realty, CyrusOne and peers.

03

Others

Enterprise on-premise estates and edge deployments serving low-latency workloads.

Trends and Recent Developments

  • 01
    GIP and MGX agreed to acquire Aligned Data Centers for USD 40 billion, with close expected in H1 2026.
  • 02
    Vantage announced the Lighthouse campus in Wisconsin, USD 15 billion and 902 MW, tied to the Oracle and OpenAI Stargate initiative.
  • 03
    Alphabet acquired Intersect Power for USD 4.75 billion in December 2025, buying generation rather than leasing it.
  • 04
    AVAIO Digital announced a USD 6 billion campus, adding to a widening pipeline outside the established primary markets.
  • 05
    Multiple states are weighing data center specific tariffs and ratepayer protection rules as large loads reshape utility cost allocation.
  • 06
    Site selection has shifted decisively toward firm power availability, displacing land cost, tax abatement and fibre proximity as the lead criterion.

Opportunities

Modular Build at Scale

Prefabricated power and cooling skids compress schedules and shift labour off the critical path.

Frontier Markets

Secondary and tertiary metros with spare interconnection headroom absorb demand the primaries cannot.

Edge Deployment

Inference at the edge, private 5G and real-time services pull small-format capacity toward end users.

Table of Contents

109 pages across 9 chapters. Expand a chapter to see its sections.

01 Executive Summary
  • 1.1 Key findings and market outlook
  • 1.2 Market size at a glance, 2025 and 2031
  • 1.3 Summary of drivers, restraints and opportunities
02 Research Scope and Methodology
  • 2.1 Report scope and definitions
  • 2.2 Base year, forecast period and currency
  • 2.3 Primary and secondary research approach
  • 2.4 Data triangulation and validation
03 Market Overview
  • 3.1 Installed capacity and capacity under construction
  • 3.2 Industry structure and value chain
  • 3.3 Policy, tax abatement and permitting landscape
  • 3.4 Porter's five forces analysis
04 Market Dynamics
  • 4.1 Drivers
  • 4.2 Restraints
  • 4.3 Opportunities
  • 4.4 Challenges
05 Market Size and Forecast, by Type
  • 5.1 Hyperscale data centers
  • 5.2 Colocation data centers
  • 5.3 Others, enterprise and edge
06 Market Size and Forecast, by Region
  • 6.1 Northern Virginia
  • 6.2 Texas
  • 6.3 California and Silicon Valley
  • 6.4 Other markets
07 Competitive Landscape
  • 7.1 Market share analysis
  • 7.2 Mergers, acquisitions and joint ventures
  • 7.3 Recent capacity announcements
08 Company Profiles
  • 8.1 Amazon Web Services
  • 8.2 Alphabet
  • 8.3 Microsoft
  • 8.4 Equinix
  • 8.5 Digital Realty
  • 8.6 NTT
09 Appendix
  • 9.1 Abbreviations and units
  • 9.2 List of tables and figures
  • 9.3 Related reports

Report Details

What's Covered

  • Market drivers, restraints and challenges
  • Market overview, recent updates and policy shifts
  • Market size and demand forecasts through 2031
  • Industry structure and supply chain analysis
  • Porter's five forces competitive assessment
  • Segmentation with individual forecasts
  • Profiles of AWS, Alphabet, Microsoft, Equinix, Digital Realty and NTT
  • Competitive landscape and M&A activity

Who Needs This

  • Data center developers and operators
  • Colocation and hyperscale providers
  • Power, cooling and electrical equipment vendors
  • EPC contractors and engineering firms
  • Infrastructure funds and institutional investors
  • Utilities and independent power producers
  • Economic development agencies and policy teams
  • Corporate strategy and M&A teams

Benefits

  • Build a deeper view of market structure and scale
  • Compare regional markets on capacity, vacancy and cost
  • Understand which growth drivers hold and which are priced in
  • Forecast demand at segment level, not just headline
  • Identify trends early enough to act on them
  • Benchmark competitors on capacity and positioning
  • Track M&A and capital flows into the sector

Research Methodology

Every number in this report passes through the same seven-step process. Sources are named, assumptions are stated, and estimates are reconciled from both supply and demand sides before publication.

01

Secondary Research

02

Discussion Guides

03

Primary Research

04

Data Triangulation

05

Market Engineering

06

Data Validation

07

Report Writing

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What research methodology do you use?

A seven-step process combining secondary research, structured primary interviews with operators and vendors, data triangulation across supply and demand sides, market engineering, and a final validation pass. The full methodology chapter is included in the report.

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